Prix à la consommation aux USA dans un contexte d'inquiétude sur l'inflation - Good Morning Trading

Prix à la consommation aux USA dans un contexte d'inquiétude sur l'inflation - Good Morning Trading

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gold to all and welcome to the taste of biting trading a trader by the trader I am delighted to meet you to take stock of the news of the financial markets it is already Wednesday the week has already passed at an extremely extremely fast speed we is in a context that is a little bit particular of tension since we have for once it must be underlined that it has slightly lowered in the United States I had missed mongongu yesterday which was a sign of red and we have indeed red hocini all over everything on all the values ​​we lost according to the american indices between forgiveness 0-30 on the on the dow jones to 0.60 on the on the nasdaq and today we will see if we manage to stay on the low points since there We are again in almost contact with help yesterday's low point and then we especially especially especially this is why I wanted to indicate there we have the consumer prices in the United States which will fall to us at 12:30 GMT so 2:30 p.m. French time and that's something that will be extremely awaited since we are in fear of a rise in inflation rates equities remain extremely well oriented we are always in close contact except that we beat them more historic highs but we have an accumulation of signs a little bit negative so that does not mean it will be the end of the world the facts saying that we 10 12 years as predicted the end of the world and we finally had the growth phase fastest in the history of the stock market so exactly the opposite of everything that was announced by the prophets of the apocalypse the soap-oil of modern times but it should be noted that we are on historical highs contains the levels but when we see clouds and and the worry that arrives on the horizon it may not last forever of course the weapons are not lacking in the sky but for the moment it's pretty good it's pretty good we arrives at the end of the year we can have vouchers company balance sheets we have especially the black friday which arrives at the end of the month which is extremely awaited by everyone is more and more Europeans me too I spotted some trojan software which interests me but I am waiting black friday because if I have 50% less required that $ 2400 on the software I am finally rather less and less 25 I am still super super happy so like to like renewal for example 2 two licenses either for for advanced systems carpreaux driver booster etc they are all after black friday because we always have pretty crazy promotions so we often have a peak in consumption at that time market a software would not be what for the renewal if you are smart don't take your license now especially if it is a box in the United States waiting for the end of the month and you will benefit from the super reduced that black friday -20 -30 points 50 and you take the subscription for one year and renew you like that systematically every year after the after black friday so here it is, if not for many companies in the united states and then it starts to establish itself well in europe it is a nice inflow of cash that comes in sure sure sure for a few days so with this appetite for consumption we go out completely but we are no longer in confinement so we also have more appetite spent we have overall on the whole population more money since we look at the statistics, the french have put billions and billions aside so they may buy a little bit for black friday to prepare for christmas etc so we have a possibility to still maintain our levels extremely high and why not end the year on an all-time all-time record and then we will see in 2022 to get to abc but the heart of the problem is inflation and so here we have a statistic is really at heart of the s ituation at 2:30 p.m. so if it is higher than expected it can hurt a bit and besides this is what economists who are questioned by reuters expect a figure of 4.3 percent of pace

annual for the core cpi core inflation index this is what interests us when they only gave 4% in September so that means that in two months in two months they have already adjusted to increase their provisions an annual inflation of 4% goes to 4 3% so that's what all investors are doing very precisely, so if we are told an inflation of 4.6 4.7 it could this morning bis and then if this 'is between 4% and 4.3 percent maybe a status quo but in any case I warn you we can be nervous at 2:30 p.m. candles going a little in all directions here we have to do very very very very careful with their budget an economist at ing called rob carnell who is said that the inflation figures are not nat ure to reassure anyone alas and it adds higher inflation than expected for longer than expected becomes the opinion of the market at the present time it is likely that this opinion is therefore reinforced by the data which goes which will which will fall to us the question it is what its precedents the prices a priori I do not think that it is precedent in the prices the risk of inflation remains on an extremely positive image of recovery of the world economy all is well money is flowing in streams people consume it is the end of the year period which arrives they will let go it is very good for the companies of certain companies that it takes 20 which make between 30 and 50% of their turnover over the last three months so this is the period when the floodgates open in quotes and even people who have little money no longer want to think about it on the end of the year celebrations. loose a lot more even if it's not necessarily

reasonable so Here we start to fall very sharply while the money is coming in even though we have good business results here it seems to me a little really really anticipated in a very very large way we have lost a little of in asia it is the first thing we sow in the morning when we are a trader we will say if it happened in asia the nikkei has lost 0 60% because we have and that's interesting we have results of a series of Japanese companies which are very bad why they are very bad they lowered their profit forecasts for the next quarters is in particular linked to the rise in the costs of raw materials and we are still in inflation or say very clearly the cost of water costs of raw materials will drastically reduce our profits we are going if we have a cost of 20 percent of raw materials in our final product we are going to be able to increase our selling prices per cent maybe 2.5 maybe by 8% and the difference will be for us and I can cite you for example mitsubishi materials it is known the steel branch of mitsubishi which lost 7% we manufactured two tires I did not know but sumitomo rubber lost 13% we have the IT group and like who lost 10 % following in fact they lowered their annual forecasts what is happening in asia we may be able to see it on the american t4 that's why it may in my life change a lot towards mid-january end january the first results of american companies they can tell you that we are they have excellent results for the fourth of the fourth quarter people are let loose for christmas but given the increase in prices they are worried about their profits on forecasts profit and on their margins but here we will be able to see a fairly strong scenario and a fall in the cost I go green towards the end of January mid February we could cash in quotation marks these bad prospects which are really linked to inflation I keep telling you if inflation demands it's bad for everyone it's bad for companies earning less money is therefore eating away at their profits it's bad for employees because inflation even if you are increasing its never at the level of inflation these are the only ones that can fix these are the super-indebted states that they stop getting into debt but it is not the case they are great in this and continue to get into debt so inflation is everyone's enemy that's why I think central banks will do everything to increase rates as late as possible because if we had to increase the rates very quickly we would have petitions to find ourselves in a bit of difficulty and here I am thinking of the countries of southern europe we would probably talk again about greece and then that greece is attacked we are going to start talk a little bit about italy from spain and then behind there is france e st the big huge heavyweight says there are in the southern states and not in the northern states in this type of classification alas here it was really to show you the context I know that many people who want it is more historical highs who want to sell sell sell sell there is also a question of timing and will start trying big short which is already bullshit we can not set expectations and tried big short or not at this time period at this time of the year is the least interesting time for to do it anyway and then I remind you that in the movie the big short at they have they just had the chance here they held they have held are held but it is not a film to put forward for for people who do the stock market at all and who have held on to a good analysis at the end all the time they have held on to a stripe that bad timing and it could have cost 48 hours or a few days they found themselves in prison over-indebted etc etc so here is what we can have a good opinion but if it does not work must know how to take takes take its losses wait wait and come back to the market again we earn more money than them 'they only have to stay in his view if the market is against us so here is even if he wanted to sell low watch we are maintaining of course the historic high is really anticipation indeed that I can Guarantee you one thing is that the markets will go down but it is in a week it is in two months it is in six months it is in these two of which are here and it is fifty thousand years that the man seeks to predict the future the day after nobody has yet come to my knowledge to even a statesman go see the pythias or astrologers for more recent French politicians here but it is also necessary to be a little bit realistic nobody foresees the vignette e we can just have some ideas some assumptions on this extremely rational speech which will surely earn me insulting emails from many people a little less rational than me and more open to spiritualism certainly we only attack the analyzes techniques but beforehand do not hesitate to subscribe to the youtube channel to talk about it around you it's super nice I know live and I try to make you benefit from my 25 years of experience in the markets completely free of charge for the moment as long as youtube does not impose similar advertising for the moment it is good it does not impose any so all is well we attack on the cac 40 so that summarizes a little what I told you it is there we see that the cac 40 was really on Monday those who resist very well we had a small bearish wave yesterday so if we missed the cac 40 had ended we prefect if we are paid the small bearish wave in the morning on the European indices that we know trait not it was it was almost over for the day which is interesting so it is we can see then there we were still entitled to an all-time high at the opening of the American markets so here we are If we summarize the historical high Friday highest historic Monday highest historical high the marty in three alive I will not do you last Thursday last Wednesday etc but when we beat the highest historical almost every day it is not the time to take a massive short except to take as I explained it to you yesterday perhaps to take a position precisely when we have reached the historic high we begin to see a small decline encountered in shorts the trading giants at this level and therefore that was the technique that I told you about it is Tuesday Tuesday morning so I told you about it here because by referring to what happened on Monday and this is exactly what is happening again. 'happened yesterday we had an opening of American market acceleration we beat the historic high and then we start to descend slowly slowly slowly my father my father almost 50 50 points which is not huge on the cac40 at more than 7000 points we slowly slowly descend everything all the rest of the time so there it worked well on Friday it worked well on Monday it does not come to Tuesday I have no more how to say about two techniques at the moment on that if it is only when we really arrive that 'we fight a higher historical we have again all the accumulation a little bit of black outfit coming back and people say to themselves is a little risky and anton alen and we have a wave a wave of decline then it works for the moment bah listen we take advantage of it we have to take advantage of it one two then it's been 15 days since more it works very of course cac 40 but we can still see that we are starting to stagnate it is much less significant before last week we went up to 8 in a straight line and there we are orange orange in a slightly slightly bullish back web so cautious what could mark the end is the rupture of surrender but we are for the moment protected on the cac40 by the 7000 points we are we have descended at the lowest yesterday around 5:12 p.m. we had not even gone to look for armed resistance in the sky on futures and we have already started to go up non place assad show which still has a buyer flow which is not the foriic but which really maintains the cac40 above the 7000 points quite clearly if there had been any doubt we could have expected that at least the 7000 would have affected its 6990 phase to bounce back there they offered themselves if j 'dare to say a rebound 12 points 10 points 12 points above 7000 so that is really a signal of a market where there are a lot of buyers yet he does not hesitate to go above 7000 points on the cac 40 so they have they have faith in the dax our friend the dax so he even same thing same thing which yesterday opening of the American markets historic record in contact with the 1100 seizures then prices fall so it was a little more interesting the base it was a little clearer on on the dax there we really see that these errors that if I dare say 10 of energy above 16,800 mhz and a historical record we do not see why we would come from long-term positions in swing trading for example and therefore it is immediately positions of d ' to be is to initiate explains that we will immediately search for the low point of our two-note week and we can see really very clearly that we are starting to stagnate in horizontal mode on the dax we will look for the points low what interests me is that there it is there we can only see from there that it is a little more done than cac 40 is that its low point we really have been looking for a low point I was going to say very classic we went under 6000 points on the on the on the dax we did not closer to the 15 1975 we were acclaimed 1977 62 78 so every 25 what interests me on the dax reinstatement of the seizures 1000 in the wake we made the ceimi one that was in clean quotes during the night there we we start to go up a little we have recovered about fifty points and we remain blocked by the resistance a monthly which was at 6050 so there we have information slightly different compared to the cac 40 the 16000 did not have kept they were they were saved 25 points lower and we were not far from it we were also saved during the night because it was 5 am 5 in the morning but that's what is more than I find interesting is that all the acceleration that we had a stick the historical record exactly as for cac40 bout we take a slap the plate finished slightly at 16,000 25 and in the night we go down and we break a break them we break them the 16000 points then there is very very little volume 1 if you if you get up one day at 2 or 3 o'clock in the morning and see what happens on the future dax that hour there you are rocking islets or dimples you smash the coast so not much is happening but that's what interests me is that even if not much is happening there is still some we will say a weak provider we have small premises which are there in action all year round to take advantage of small aberrations and there we see very clearly which considers that compass drunk and under the 16000 point we can we can come back seized mine that it is between quotation marks a form of aberration we replay pale for for for the dax so here we are given as info even if we do not are not robots even if we are not wings tip and even if we were asleep at that time that gives me the info then if we come back to contact with this area there is a priori to have a rebound which can be about twenty points 25 points 2.15 1975 16000 is quite your type

for traders or po ur for a scalper if we look back on these areas I like the lowest lows of the night they are quite often they are quite effective so do not hesitate on the American future indices and for example the dax of have a vision even if on the graphs it is not very very very very very beautiful it gets a little heavier have the vision over the entire quotation range including the night time schedules on what happened on the Asian markets if we have a low point a low point in an upward period as we are rather if we return to it in normal session generally there is there is enough to make a record alps and gain some points their stocks I will not detail more on the euro stoxx is pretty much what i told you yesterday the interesting thing is that it held its pivot point for the week even that night it has not been in contact with it are approached at a point or two points at but he did not touch it so there we have a zone of deu x interesting supports on the other hand we see unlike the other indices we have historical records on historical record on cac 40 and the dax the euro stoxx50 which is wider and where we see that it can no longer beat its historical records we have a law of bearish back which what is being built despite the opening of the American markets they cannot iron these plots so that's what it is lying a signal a little of weakness for the global euro zone in my opinion which encourages caution is therefore not to start buying to keep on recorder relays of the highest historical it's it's a little bit it's a little bit hussar on the dow jones dow jones alas we don't was not looking for the 36000 point it's really the level that interests me because if we go a little above we will reinstate it in my opinion we will really have enough to make a line of 1 scal for fairly secure enough with little of risks would only be with the automatically algorithms who are going to wake up a little bit thirty six thousand one hundred have bounced back we are already almost thirty six thousand two hundred but we can see all the same we can see that the same for the dow jones the american indices it looks a bit like the euro stoxx50 it can not beat these plots and therefore for the moment it is starting a bearish phase so if we do if we make the projections if they continue on this bearish phase we could go and look for the 36 mines and 35 1950 and 36000 to put a little to struggle you have to be very clear about the American indices what will make the difference and the big big big statistics that we expect at 2 p.m. to 2:30 p.m. are the consumer prices you also have jobless claims for the week of November 6 but that's not what is most anticipated the two tombs at 2:30 p.m. 1 it's really the consumer price over one year here with a consensus that continues to increase so we will see we will see what happens and what on the other hand, consumer prices there is no increase in inflation it can start to set a new historical record behind it means that everyone everyone was wrong all the analysts were wrong inflation banon we imagine no longer that it exists and is suddenly at school at the interest rates may be going up we know chip is postponed but there we can see a phase a phase of going to look for a new historical record of relief by saying banon we separate is inflation but for the moment it is not happening good it is not my privileged scenario but I prefer to give it to you because as I say it has signed undulate does not foresee no one can predict the future on nasdaq nasdaq which puts a little more it suffers a little more why the nasdaq suffers a little more because it is he who is the most sensible bhutto so this is the clue c ' is the statistic which greatly fears its consumer prices on the nasdaq for all your the reasons that I mentioned to you if it is stronger than expected expect a drop in nasdaq we also had in this whole story of the drop in nasdaq yesterday we had and the water does not mask who has who has play smart on twitter I don't give back I don't go into details vox populi vox dei but here it is, it still gives a signal also if you take a little step back it also gives the signal that helmes also considers that its own action and is on stratospheric levels and that it is perhaps time to time that has therefore risen after the super production that they had in an extremely strong way and besides I had spoken to him in a goodwill Tesla trading on a Saturday they are accelerated at all costs for 15 days for almost 30% in a straight line so there we say to ourselves it may be the world cashed but it also shows us that it can create a form of worry saying if you have and beyond what is starting to come out is that realizes that perhaps with inflation is more difficult to sell these cars will have to sell a little more expensive and c is that we did what little help there to make believe that it is the Internet users who chose his place when he knew very well that it was the result even before asking the question to his consoles it is extremely hypocritical as as a system and by saying barred it is not me ggp a sold at the highest share tesla I am not informed of what can of what can happen or of the possible profit warning that you are this will give in six months these Internet users who have chosen and that covers me skillfully the Russian itself but same diagram we see very clearly for a lowered diagram on stage so it of course holds its resistance of monthly to the real question it is with the statistic of 2:30 p.m. does it break the resistance of my only one or on the contrary it relieves everything the world was going pretty good and then we go back to the v Upwards, therefore, make sure to enter the American market and especially keep your position before 2:30 p.m. there we are really nice to total total casino same

thing on the sp 500 but what I find very interesting is that we have two dynamics. sees that we have a cac40 that we have a dax 30 which is which beats record on historical record hop hop we are we have American indices which are in phase of perfectly controlled fallback very light we arrive on the lowest that can also be a precautionary fallback while waiting for our famous consumer prices at 2:30 p.m. which you will understand and the great event of the day that's all and I was delighted to give you the good morning of trading half an hour sharp. 'is perfect we meet tomorrow for it will already be Thursday for the good morning the trading for the people of the school will have the cat that will be installed so we will continue the taste of death of premium we will test the silos cat works works well mouth can answer all your s questions and that we also continue one more home with the taste of mardin trading here I mean auto y so as I put my jaw but in are saved and everything we will find with great pleasure I hope for you for I for sure this weekend we again webinars goodwill trading 9.2 of 9:00

to 10:00 I'll do an hour an hour down this gift m'arrange from 9 am to 10 pm that will taste de huy que trading we will take stock and outlook with action analyzes and two clips all that I don't do in the good morning training so 9 a.m. to 10 a.m. and from 10 a.m. to 11 a.m. hours we will do an economic subject is the same on Sunday it will be from 9 to 10 for the historical subject and from 10 to 11 for the trading subject I think it will be a subject on futures and future microphones which are a silent revolution but very very very very important on the cme which is in full mutation which is really full m utation since they have allied themselves with google and sarah big consequences with us for us in particular for our safety of other ordering and I am not starting enough in their party for half an hour we will see that we will see that on Sunday. well there is pleasure in trading and if you have any unhappiness you have to stop it is that at leverage ponds which has things that are not going to trade it is the school of modesty so have no good opinion stopped because people who have strong opinions when the markets go against them who keep their strong opinions is a real massacre and here we are, not everyone is doing the big short if we made a movie of it. is because it's totally exceptional because I had a hundred thousand side that we were totally ruined destroyed cellar exactly the same the same idea that they liked that they had the bad bad timing so think about it on the stock market it is useless to be right about this so it's perfect, you have to be right and have the timing to be right about one out of two things to have August mixing the most complicated thing so we say it and fart anticipate never anticipate is never enough really advice that I can give you at the end of 25 years of stock market never anticipate a drop that we had it happens you are all the time to come back eouzan profit widely but I did not take the risk here it is a bit as if I am giving you an image c 'is a military image roughly speaking you never wear in a patrol never volunteer to be scouts the scout he he possibly has to spot the enemy but there he is there to take the first burst of machine guns so it is better not be and that mistake so don't be write hours trying to sell before everyone else or acid bought before everyone else was waiting to have the signals it will save your life voila and then not if you are in the army that you are scout r here it is to make turn anyway whose patrol on those planted you well and to tomorrow ciao and all day on the form

2021-11-13 02:55

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