Good Morning Trading par Benoist Rousseau : analyse des marchés actions et indices, la Chine déçoit

Good Morning Trading par Benoist Rousseau : analyse des marchés actions et indices, la Chine déçoit

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screw to meet you this morning to take stock of the news of the financial markets then once is not customary we open in the red after an extremely brilliant week on all the stock markets had Monday this by a cac 40 which took the more than 2.6 percent last week and there we open slightly down on all indices this future we are between -0 29 and minus 0.40 so what can explain this we have for the moment a slight a slight withdrawal we are in a relatively foriic phase why we are in a phase of euphoria when I say goodbye to you the good points then then the bad points which explains knowing a little bit of order in the water this morning the good points are that the results of American companies in particular will multiply in the days to come and they are a very strong support factor on the equity markets because the results are really exceptional according to the latest figures. de re finished trib So who scans the analysts by asking them what their progress is therefore all the analysts who have been consulted now expect a 32% increase over one year in the earnings of the American sp 500 index + 32% and at the beginning of October they were they estimated that the profits would be 29 4% what happened in 15 years fifteen days not quite simply that we had the first results of the American companies which are all for the moment very well above the analysts' expectations so when you have better than what you expect it is normal that the stock market rose last week so there it hits + 32% of profits an increase of 32% of the profits of the index s p500 so really Monday this heavyweight against 29 12 4% so it is really a very good sign that it is what supports what really made the markets go up the week last week there they are in slight decrease which binds is accentuated since we lose between - 0 35 36 c and -0 45% now on all the indices which we follow on a daily basis together which are the negative points after having risen sharply we ask ourselves questions that we can have small profit-taking that's ok but especially this no we had two bad figures and the bad figures come from china on chinese growth is at its lowest for a year it is quite unexpected good it is even quite strong 1 so we were going for chinese economic growth of which the keys as the second the second in the world fell to 4.9 percent in annual rate over the period between the month of July and the month of September so on over a quarter said it without we will finally say even peace is not even of history between the third quarter January March April May June July or September this third Chinese quarter we are at 4.9 percent in annual rate and it is at the lowest since last year

we were on much stronger growth seems to us huge us in the West 4.9 percent but for China it's really very little so why the last Chinese quarter was not exceptionally good or even very disappointing good bah we have plenty of reasons so I'll tell you a little jumbled together we have bottlenecks in the industry some can no longer export we are we have too much of how to say the super containers and not all of them manage to sell the production so we have a bottleneck strangulation it is not the demand it is the capacity to send to export to send on European ports on American ports everything that is in control and so there it stagnates was not helped because they have pink rose butt power cuts repeatedly in China that's also why they began to prohibit the cleaning of the big pony because it was energy consuming and we also had to find some kind of culprit but here is if we is struggling to restart its electricity production am not giving you a vez baki factories quite simply I could read articles in certain regions with high industrial production in china you have factories running and 24 hours a day currently running between 9 am and 10 hours a day the rest of the time it is it's power cuts because you have to know all the same that even if you have only two hours of power cut during the day it can slow down your production line in terms of productivity for about double 4 5 hours because a production line is not quite like our computers there is no need to simply remind the button it's a power cut when you are sad and come back you press the button and and depending on your computers between 10 seconds and three minutes that's it we are fully operational it can take several hours to restart check security tests and even if the security tests it must be relatively minimal in some in Chinese industries but here it takes, it takes time to restart and we barely left that baum new power cuts and we left for two hours in lens is all behind we had some geographical areas also where there was part of the resumption of coitus 19 and the Chinese policy is the 7-0 that ovide so good they block everything it all confines very quickly for a few cases of kovy so necessarily if jean ray at home teleworking it had to good but still for the industry it's complicated ah and then we have evergrande worries the turbulent on machine furniture so all this cocktail 4 5 6 negative points explains that Chinese growth is weak and that is what is in a hurry this morning in any case on the European indices and on the American future indices it's not it's not great but investors are therefore expecting an intervention from the Chinese central bank to revitalize all this with dignity, they have not yet There are many possibilities for intervention in China there are quite imaginative so the market is not afraid that we will now move on to technical analysis it's time to thank you I wanted to thank you for your presence Saturday Sunday for the 3 or binary that we had I see that the economic webinar in view of the quality of the comments on the youtube channel you liked there will be another one this week for the moment I was gone on the globalization of brains a silent war that can allow us to see a lot of interesting things like last Saturday so if you haven't seen the video I urge you to watch it and I remind you that now we have three dates per week- end point 10am market where I talk a lot more things and I have time to talk about it in it's much nicer for all of us for an economic Saturday at 11 a.m. and economic binary and Sunday at 10 a.m. webinar story that seems to you please re also a lot and we will not see this week from next week there will be a fourth webinar on Sunday from 11am to noon it will be a surprise webinar on this do not hesitate to subscribe to the youtube channel to talk about it around you to put small thumbs enough a chain which is stock market economy history is so much more so thank you for making it known absolutely 0 publicity just like for the forum where we deal where the block in the island I always decided to make 0-0 advertising I always rely on word of mouth so here I am counting on your butcher on your ear on your ears we are attacking the technical analysis so as we can see everything is in the red today we have no particularly important statistics that could move the markets except the quarterly results of US companies that go down to the account dropper I will give you the list of key values day after day jou r but hey it's a bit slow a car motorbike nor I will I will really give you the heavyweights from tomorrow here we are attacking so we are going on our technical opinion 4.40 then we see a small drop a little more only a small drop because we have just broken the 6700

points we have already fallen by 0.45 and it is only 8:18 a.m. so we could have a day of fairly marked decline why not take some profits, tension a little bit with China and then we still part of inflation but during the night we still had the barrel of American oil the wti the Texan which took 1% so we are over 83 dollars so great that we have some in our portfolio and my great con that we refuel since I remind you of the principle here the wti which has 83 dollars the time it is really in your car it can take between two and three months because you have to go get it you have to be refined then you have to distribute it so we no longer really to the maximum these two months and otherwise these three months on the other hand, the increase is immediately reflected in the expectations to be made they have they immediately raise the prices the prices of the barrel there have been very interesting studies even if intuitively we will be a little against billions of economic studies which prove as to the barrel of oil which shows what the gasoline you put in car mode to date three months ago so it is more than three months in fact that paid the the tanker or the distributor but as soon as the oil prices go up they go up immediately and when the oil prices go down and well there they will have three months to bring it down it's good it's good war and then anyway has no real choice except to ride a bike so I encourage you to ride a bike, I walk on foot but now I also have the possibility to go to work it's quite fast there are about I go 20 meters here so it ' is rather it's rather quick geraghty to ride a bike when even for 20 meters it's like the Chinese initiates it is useless time to warm up we are already we have already arrived go just a little more serious on the on the 40 room so here me what I see c 'is a fairly marked drop so the 6 nice is going to hold it is the big question it turns out we have redone the low point of the day and it will rebound it was worth it will seek them resistance one month we still have a beautiful candle a beautiful red candle in an hour anyone who reminds him that the room 40 opens in the future open at 8 a.m. he sleeps he sleeps at night unlike the other future clues that we are studying we have we had there we hit the 6000 7 and then we have and we try to maintain ourselves with difficulty, I would leave it rather cool and if I dare say today and here to nab a low point and there when I look at my graph intuitively right away what comes to me then idc the pivot zone is the zone of six thousand six hundred and fifty jobs that we erde another 40 points it would be we would be at -1% on your 40 or so and we would have this area there me dollars to my only pivot is that we could work it in a rather sympathetic way at the top of the top it would be 6625 and then reinstatement friends of the stop but pivot point of the week but in any case I would not start buying because it is not a knife that falls for the moment we are far from it but there is since I since I watch the charts and the order book there is no desire for particularly strong buying pressure there are rather people so no one but we can see the overall trend which is still rather to fall so I will not rush to buy on on the cac 40 same thing on the dax we see we see anyway there it is we are fighting on the in contact with the fifteen thousand five hundred which is a very important symbolic support we are more or less at the level not erased all the hike on Friday simply because we were on this The levels there Friday at 8 a.m. so in one hour when finally honor yes we will say in one hour 23 minutes we erased a fairly brilliant day of rise on the dax yesterday so careful we can have a very red morning and then if the American companies again we get very good results good to have a second wave which would be a wave of recovery notwithstanding any statement by a man of a politician in the United States on inflation etc but here we can see this scenario- there bearish this morning good results of american companies rebound in european stocks said we then for 15 25 cents it seems a little fragile to me travel am not usually optimistic i would have rushed to science calpine 15,500 world and trading there I'm not super super optimistic this morning so I'm staying to see the 15,000 4 by putting a big alert on three levels on the monthly pivot camp that would be erased Thursday's increase in the mios and the cover Friday's full for me here is really really the right level on the other hand good there are the fifteen thousand four hundred and fifty which annoys me a little if we break the 15 to 100 if really you are a pure and hard scalper you have already had to take your trade by tapping on the fifteen thousand five hundred and there it is class 1500 13 14 you have already cashed worth 10 points thank you goodbye and that's what is important I insist and each time Whenever I coach or talk to a lot of people on the phone, it always comes back to you that with 10 points you can make a good living and in the 1% of French people who have the highest income, that's just 10 points per day on the dax if they intend to spend to multiply the number of trade not at all that does not count is to have 15 different methods to do this twenty thirty forty fifty traitor per day so happy is to master it perfectly something here it is senou tra specialization game perfectly mastered 3.4 set up and when these 7th by yves what will make the difference and the intensity i.e. the number of prizes you are going to put into play there you put a batch it takes 10 points you gain 10 points played and t5 loose and already won 50 50 points here it is the end of the day so this is what the stock market has taught me since i have been very happy for my own for its last twelve years it is useless to multiply the number of trades what is necessary on the contrary is to reduce them to the maximum we take little but very very good qualities and with a great intensity so it is really for me the two stages of the trading to become profitable the first step has been found a statistical method that works well and in which we have confidence trust is extremely important in trading it is the beauty a little bit psychological and that I was going to say it is almost the easiest part sorry i don't want you us demotivate but it's almost the easiest after the second complicated really the most that requires the most energy of psychological strength to work on oneself is to increase the intensity here it is really on these three-four deals with the day or to put a lot succeed gradually put a lot then those who are on stage and they can make a deal at and then if they get used to a new deal at puy 1.15 to 1.20 it will not be

we don't feel comfortable we come to 1.10 we stay for a while and little by little in the world like that the intensity we gain centimeter by centimeter our our high jump it does not seem really the two key points the first part we can arrive relatively quickly with a technique that works and prove we spent a few hundred hours on it simple that we can get there after the second part that's what asks in my opinion in any case for me that's what m 'asked the most the more strength and energy I realized that in made a technique that works I had already had it for years, years but I did not exploit it what mail of costs as they should have been exploited I did not put the intensity in it so I got lost I was going to say in multiples multiple multiple additional trade to try to increase omega and which ultimately exhausted me more than anything else or even reduced my earnings whereas here it is it is really really the sniper it is to say to you and three four balls in the day but the guys in front it takes it 4 four months ago in front of the question arises even more the same logical stock one really has the impression to see the cac40 in their stocks all the more because it has been in contact with the friend monthly dollars which obviously made it difficult for him to cross it would really be there that we are influential super good news so even if it is the euro stoxx50 we already know a little the flow that we could have some great good news is that the American technological sector will come out they can and who can explode the meters and there it could be the additional impetus that we could have to return to the highest again but by then from here here we have no good news in china we see watching we do not have good news on the level of inflation with the barrel of oil continues to rise we have the american companies which have succeeded in supporting the rating but I will not hide from you that I am worried in quotes I am leaving worried because I would simply sell one but we will have been able to support American companies within three weeks against the big heavyweights have passed the result three weeks to me they come to me that was what there will only be esye statistics if the statistics continue to be as bad as the one that happens that promises us a rather rather complicated month of november on the stock market to have to see but i keep that really the spirit here we are supported by good results of American companies fortunately but they will not publish all year non-stop so when it stops what is left for us to possibly have a wave of increases it is fine to be more complicated will do it but one on the dow jones college of drop also then on the dow jones either what would interest me it is not even the 35 points I tell you a rather rather silly game this morning however before I did well slept but here I do not feel too much because it is really not a beautiful stadium that we had in China it is a stat a little a little worrying these symbols of slowing down so I do not mind that they have electricity cuts that it is in quotes the mess in china at the moment it seems quite normal to me when the second economy of the world and one because the world population almost a fifth the world population is recovering in order of economic battle game it's quite normal bon p on the other hand, it should not stay for months and months either because here we are on top of that we arrive at the end of the year quarter which is for many companies the best possible quarter there we often talk about a shortage of toys etc ban a priori it is true because if we always have the congestion if it chains the blackouts and all the toys for the kids it is not terrible there will perhaps not be as many So that the prices are likely to go up for the last fashionable doll or the last fashionable robot to buy books your kids its walls and then it's better for their future too but not digital books one of the physical books because we do not remember at all in the same way as we say on a tablet or kong li with a book that we open we can even sense the smell of the book its memorization and much much more exacerbated the concentration also c is any problem that tries to get the teachers to pass is that the tablets is great it's very practical but to learn nothing beats a good geography history book with lots of beautiful photos that we turn that we read that we touch that we feel that our contact and it's better for memorizing all this to tell you that we risk companies will learn jouéclub for example h at the club I was waiting so long months of October exit from the outlook calendar when I was little allowed to dreaming for three months about my christmas present is the sale adds being from a poor family if you are not spoiled so you have three gifts a year around christmas your birthday and then a beautiful gift that does not fall if you had a good school year from which you expected about three gifts and what creates the quality the quality is the aunt awaits the dream of the product and then when you have it bah here is finally your arrow rifle that you had dreamed of during three s month you have it in your hands and you are always a little bit disappointed and if you do not believe me remember your love experiences sometimes it was more latent the dream of this relationship which was the most interesting than living it in quotes physically because a girl but hey it always comes back more or less the same the variations are the proof hastily limited but so that I speak to you about that it is the mountain of the direct but what is important is compared to to companies that's it this many make a lot of turnover for the month of for Christmas the month of December for it will be tight business not know how to take between 10 to 60% of their turnover if there are supply problems if there are logistical problems they can achieve bad quarterly and there we will pay it in January February in full face then not for technology because selling software in saas so there is no internet there's no of concern and for the companies once again the other physical liabilities which are still the most the most disadvantaged of the dow jones of the thirty five I do not feel too much one at 34 1900 and the lowest of the day before last Friday 30 4750 that's the top 6 either, don't believe that we can go so low so quickly that they really should be bad so here is 34 1900 that seems to me a good area for at least two at least scalping see two of the trading there We still have to lose almost 200 points but it's playable it's playable today we will see how from 3:30 p.m. the bad Chinese news on the dax on the paper the low nasdaq you can imagine that here I will wait for the 15000 and the contact of the monthly pivot point this zone there if we arrive on it there is something to miss it on Saturday point frankly so there is something to do his day on so it's a little work of waiting to see if we get on it al However I tell you in my scenario cbi if in the morning if we do not reach 15,000 in the morning we will really readjust past 3:30 p.m. are able to leave due north if we had between 2 p.m. and 3:30 p.m. two good results of American companies if we confirm this this dynamic

for the cnp 500 then it is a little sent it holds better in it holds better that's why it is the snb 500 it is in quotes on Monday which gives the best the best results is a much larger record that has many more companies who gave that gave the result they are good that's why we went from 24 to 32% growth estimate on this annual they have they increased their their forecasts and their and their expectations so we can see it we can see the very clearly it holds much better than for example the dow jones or the nasdaq here is especially especially the nasdaq which does not go well there a new to inflation is not Monday what most prefer the i inflation for russell 2000 it is much much clearer I told you about the zone and 2003 which seemed difficult to me to cross especially since we had resistance to my only one and everything I spoke to you on Thursday or Friday Friday good c 'is the case we have already lost 50 points we have regressed by 2% and if you have seen the taste of wick trading on Saturday at 10 o'clock these sayers yes at 10 o'clock I have widely mentioned this fall in concealment 2000 is this that this can mean that is why you are not abnormally surprised by this drop this morning on all the European indices I am widely announced on Saturday at 10 am and all the importance or day I have no time on the 2nd to want to explain and then for those who attended the credit goodwill would not be very sympathetic do not hesitate to watch this video which shows you the importance of this fall that we read at 5 p.m. on the American Friday markets on the sol russell 2000 can that mean it's vr like in my opinion something which is very very very important and strategic he listened to the friends i will leave it to you for today from wednesday for the people who are part of the school we will continue so i will cut there on youtube and we will continue for half an hour the good morning trading here it will be the equivalent of a goodwill trading but every day every day every day here I am waiting for news from my multi stream broadcaster live for nothing you hide its vimeo as I go by side vimeo companies it takes a lot a lot more time because you have to negotiate a lot of things additional services that are not classic when you take the business or premium version here I am in the midst of negotiation c 'is to say a little longer than expected because I dye I am not necessarily super talented in English so we lose a little time and 2 here I have a little special requests so see here can do development for me but Wednesday here is normally I hope to be able to broadcast in the worst case it will be Thursday we will do the tests together with the people from the school on this I give you three to three kisses and then and and three beautiful vibrations it feels really good, you can't wait to see you again tomorrow morning to see what happened on the financial markets châu everyone

2021-10-20 21:03

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